Let’s Take a Look Back At All of the NC District Races

Let’s Take a Look Back At All of the NC District Races

Remember when our virtual tour of North Carolina’s races for the U.S. House of Representatives ended? Well, it hasn’t. Turns out, there’s another stop on this NC district races ride. We need to take a look at what all of that information means for voters coming into the 2020 election.

If you want to go back and re-read any of the 13 district race breakdowns, here you go: 1st District, 2nd District, 3rd District, 4th District, 5th District, 6th District, 7th District, 8th District, 9th District, 10th District, 11th District, 12th District and 13th District.

Now, let’s see if we can figure out what happens going forward…. 

Handicapping the Field

Learning about each of these 30 candidates over the past month or so led to an excellent discovery: There isn’t much difference between politics and college athletics when it comes to winning. 

Sometimes, the favored team or candidate is too much of a favorite and the underdog team or candidate is too much of an underdog. And sometimes money is the deciding factor in who wins or loses.

The Democrat incumbents guaranteed to retain their seat: Rep. G.K. Butterfield (1st District), Rep. David Price (4th District) and Rep. Alma Adams (12th District).

The Republican incumbents guaranteed to retain their seat: Rep. Greg Murphy (3rd District), Rep. Virginia Foxx (5th District), Rep. David Rouzer (7th District), Rep. Dan Bishop (9th District), Rep. Patrick McHenry (10th District) and Rep. Ted Budd (13th District)

NC district races will make a difference in 2020
Image courtesy of Element5 Digital on Unsplash.

Reps. George Holding and Mark Walker, both Republicans, are not running for re-election in the 2nd and 6th Districts. Candidates Deborah Ross and Kathy Manning, both Democrats, likely will replace Holding and Walker in their respective seats.

So, what are the toss-up NC district races?

Keep one eye on the 8th District and the other on the 11th District. Those NC district races can determine whether North Carolina sends a Republican or Democrat majority to the U.S. House.

Coming into this year’s election, nine Republicans and three Democrats represent North Carolina in the House. The seat for the 11th District is vacant because Mark Meadows resigned earlier this year to eventually serve as White House Chief of Staff under President Donald Trump. 

The NC district races could have a big impact in Washington
Image courtesy of Mike Still on Unsplash.

The gap between Republican and Democrat representatives from this state likely will narrow this year, but the question is by how much. The Democrats are expected to pick up two seats in the House, making it an 8-5 split, this year following a court’s approval of new Congressional districts in late 2019.

If Democrats Pat Timmons-Goodson and Moe Davis somehow win the seats from the 8th and 11th districts, respectively, and the results from the other districts come out as expected, North Carolina would be represented by seven Democrats and six Republicans.

To keep up with our 2020 election coverage, check out our Law section.